目 录

【统计理论与方法】

基于DA插补法的线性回归模型系数估计值的模拟研究·················杨贵军，骆新珍(3)

近单整时间序列Scheffe预测模型的内生性及其修正·····················赵梦楠，封福育(9)

缺失偏态数据下联合位置与尺度模型的统计推断···········李玲雪，吴刘仓，詹金龙(15)

经济周期波动的函数型时序分解方法

——基于CPI的实证分析······························································姜高霞,王文剑(22)

【统计应用研究】

基于可变参数的FCI构建与实证研究···········许涤龙，欧阳胜银(29)

经济预警指数、国房景气指数与CPI指数波动溢出实证分析

——基于三元VARGARCHBEKK模型··················张宇青，周应恒，易中懿(36)

改革开放以来中国经济周期波动特征与形成机制分析································丁志帆(41)

基于局部闭模型与乘数分析的投资对消费影响研究

——以北京市42部门投入产出分析为例·······················陈 璋，龙少波，黄 彪(47)

中国农业全要素生产率增长分布的动态演进机制···尹朝静，李谷成，卢 毓(53)

区域间投入产出技术在碳足迹空间分布中的应用·························刘红光，范晓梅(59)

基于分形理论的区域经济差异分析

——以河南省为例······································································李佼瑞，徐书雅(65)

产业集聚与区域经济竞争力协调发展的实证研究·······李 蓉，强林飞，蔡敬梅(70)

区域电子信息产业竞争力评价研究

·····················································································张 鸿，代玉虎,张 权(77)

离散事件与外贸序列结构变化

——基于中国2000年以来月度数据的实证检验·········································池启水(82)

煤矿瓦斯爆炸事故单危险源风险度量模型研究····························李新春，刘全龙(88)

不同渠道经费对科学与技术贡献的比较研究

——基于空间面板模型的估计···································································俞立平(95)

【统计调查与分析】

基于T检验与Fuzzy法的众包影响因素分析及实证研究······戴 军，王 霞(102)

多层贝叶斯模型在消费者偏好分析中的应用研究

——基于手机市场数据···············································张 浩，王 哲，朱佩枫(107)